Ñublense vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
12º
9º
36
3º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 7.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
21% | 71.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DCO
0 - 1
NUB
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
0 - 1
NUB
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 2
UCO
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 0
NUB
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
COB
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 1
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COQ
2 - 2
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSL
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |