Copa Chile Last 16
Global 2-2
Ñublense vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ULC
1 - 1
NUB
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 2
NUB
70%
19%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
NUB
0 - 1
CUR
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 2
NUB
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
NUB
2 - 0
DSC
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ULC
1 - 1
NUB
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
ULC
3 - 2
MAG
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
MAG
0 - 2
ULC
18%
22%
59%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 0
ULC
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 1
ULC
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |