Ñublense vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
NUB
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUB
14%
22%
65%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 3
NUB
18%
24%
59%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 1
CUR
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
CUR
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
COQ
2 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 4
MAG
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -2 |