Ñublense vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 2
NUB
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 0
NUB
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
NUB
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 0
DEP
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CUR
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 1
IBE
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
IBE
1 - 2
CUR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 0
UCO
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |