Ñublense vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
NUB
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CUR
6 - 0
NUB
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -5 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
NUB
4 - 1
PUE
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COB
3 - 1
NUB
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
NUB
3 - 1
DCO
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
EVE
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DCO
1 - 0
CON
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 6
CUR
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COQ
2 - 2
CON
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
MAG
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |