Copa Chile Last 16
Global 3-2
Ñublense vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NUB
1 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
NUB
2 - 1
COQ
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DLS
3 - 0
NUB
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NUB
3 - 2
CSL
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
UCH
0 - 1
NUB
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
PAL
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
ANT
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UCH
1 - 3
COL
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
HUA
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 2
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |