Ñublense vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
12º
9º
27
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
21% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
NUB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
NUB
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NUB
0 - 0
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DCO
0 - 1
NUB
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DCO
2 - 2
CSL
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
CSL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 1
IQU
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 0
CSL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |