Ñublense vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
CSD
0 - 0
NUB
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NUB
1 - 0
VAL
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
USF
1 - 0
NUB
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NUB
2 - 0
PUE
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
IBE
1 - 0
NUB
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 0
USF
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
DLS
1 - 2
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COB
4 - 0
DLS
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
DLS
0 - 1
USF
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CSL
2 - 1
DLS
48%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |