Ñublense II vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NII
1 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DLI
0 - 0
NII
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NII
1 - 4
MAL
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NII
0 - 1
CCI
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 0
NII
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 3
CDM
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CDM
3 - 2
SAU
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AII
1 - 1
CDM
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CDM
0 - 0
MAL
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CCI
1 - 1
CDM
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |