NTSV Strand vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTSV Strand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
EIC
3 - 2
NTS
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NTS
0 - 2
KRO
33%
23%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
LUB
3 - 0
NTS
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NTS
2 - 1
HUS
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
4 - 1
NTS
54%
23%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HAG
3 - 1
DOR
40%
23%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HAG
0 - 1
TOD
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FLE
4 - 2
HAG
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HAG
1 - 1
TUR
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
KRO
4 - 0
HAG
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |