NTSV Strand vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTSV Strand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LUB
0 - 2
NTS
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NTS
4 - 1
HAR
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 0
NTS
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NTS
1 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EIC
1 - 0
NTS
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KRO
0 - 0
HAG
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
3 - 2
HEI
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
2 - 1
TUR
57%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 0
HAG
89%
8%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
4 - 0
DOR
56%
22%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |