Drava Ptuj vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
15º
12º
13
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drava Ptuj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
DRA
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 1
DHA
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DRA
4 - 2
DOB
85%
10%
5%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
POD
0 - 3
DRA
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DRA
3 - 0
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
BIS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 0
NKD
60%
21%
20%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 1
ALK
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
3 - 3
ALU
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 3
DOM
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |