Novorizontino vs Uberlândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
5 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
PAL
10%
18%
72%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
NOV
24%
22%
55%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Uberlândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UBE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
UBE
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
UBE
0 - 2
ATM
7%
17%
76%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UBE
1 - 0
PAT
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 0
UBE
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |