Novorizontino vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
RIO
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
INT
0 - 3
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 3
AGU
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
TUP
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
6 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |