Novorizontino vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
VOT
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
AME
3 - 3
NOV
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 6
NOV
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |