Novorizontino vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 2
NOV
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 1
NOV
23%
23%
53%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
VOT
42%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 4
MIR
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
BAT
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
VOT
1 - 0
MIR
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
MIR
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |