Novorizontino vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 2
RIO
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 0
NOV
90%
7%
2%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 3
PAL
12%
19%
69%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
NOV
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
MIR
35%
23%
42%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DES
3 - 1
MIR
21%
22%
58%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
MIR
15%
19%
66%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |