Novorizontino vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOV
29%
22%
49%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
56%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
RBB
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
COR
10%
22%
69%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 0
RBB
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAO
12%
22%
67%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 1
ITU
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
ITU
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 1
PPE
12%
21%
68%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |