Novorizontino vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
UBE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
5 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
PAL
10%
18%
72%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
NOV
24%
22%
55%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
PAY
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UBE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
LUV
20%
21%
59%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
0 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |