Novorizontino vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
5 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
13%
25%
63%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
FER
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOV
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
TUP
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
CRI
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
9%
18%
73%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
CHA
8%
18%
75%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |