Novorizontino vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
NOV
33%
24%
44%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 6
NOV
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 3
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
NOV
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |