Novorizontino vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 2
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 4
SAO
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 2
SEP
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 2
UNI
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 0
SJS
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 2
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |