Novorizontino vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRA
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 2
NOV
24%
23%
52%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 0
OES
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 2
AVA
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 1
JEC
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
FFL
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 0
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
OPE
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |