Novorizontino vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
61%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
AGU
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
13%
24%
62%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
INT
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
BRA
14%
24%
62%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |