Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NOV
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
10%
24%
66%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |