Novorizontino vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
NOV
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
COT
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 3
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
TUP
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
RIO
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
AGU
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
AME
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
0 - 2
AGU
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |