Novorizontino U20 vs Chapecoense U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
NOV
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
JAC
80%
13%
8%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 4
COR
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
6 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
ATL
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |