Novoperário vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novoperário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
NOV
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
COR
30%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 2
NOV
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
AGU
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
NOV
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GOI
3 - 1
APA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
APA
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |