Novo Horizonte vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
4 - 1
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
3%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AEE
1 - 1
NOV
15%
18%
68%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
GOI
50%
25%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 1
ATL
6%
15%
79%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
IPO
1 - 1
ITU
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 2
ITU
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
URT
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |