Novo Horizonte vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 0
ITU
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
4 - 1
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
3%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
APA
1 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
APA
1 - 2
ATL
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
APA
1 - 1
IPO
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |