Novo Hamburgo vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 2
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ECS
1 - 2
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAX
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 5
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 2
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
VER
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
ESP
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
ECA
2 - 2
SAP
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SCI
4 - 0
SAP
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |