Novo Hamburgo vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAY
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
SCI
11%
21%
68%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAX
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
CRU
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
13%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 4
XVD
24%
28%
48%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |