Novo Hamburgo vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
SCI
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 2
NOV
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 0
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
RBB
2 - 1
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 4
SAN
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |