Novo Hamburgo vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ECS
3 - 2
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 3
SCI
9%
20%
72%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAX
2 - 0
NOV
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SLU
2 - 1
NOV
47%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 1
ISM
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
74%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ECA
0 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |