Novo Hamburgo vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 0
NOV
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
5 - 0
CAN
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
1 - 0
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
4%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 0
CAN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
PEL
0 - 1
SLU
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SCI
3 - 0
PEL
84%
12%
3%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 0
VER
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEL
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |