Novo Hamburgo vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
SCI
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 2
REM
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 0
REC
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 4
PAY
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 0
PAY
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |