Novo Hamburgo vs Passo Fundo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
NOV
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
CAC
0 - 1
NOV
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
PEL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 0
NOV
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Passo Fundo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
CAC
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 0
CAX
19%
24%
58%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 1
PAS
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAS
0 - 2
SLU
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 0
VER
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |