Novo Hamburgo vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LAJ
1 - 3
NOV
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
NOV
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 0
SLU
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LAJ
1 - 3
NOV
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ECA
1 - 0
LAJ
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 0
VER
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAJ
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 2
LAJ
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |