Novo Hamburgo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
YPI
3 - 1
NOV
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
ECA
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
7 - 2
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
NOV
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
SLU
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 2
JUV
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 2
ECS
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CEA
4 - 1
JUV
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
72%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |