Novo Hamburgo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 2
NOV
83%
14%
4%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ECS
3 - 1
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 1
ECS
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
YPI
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 1
JUV
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 1
JUV
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |