Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-0
Novo Hamburgo vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 2
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JEC
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
NOV
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
JMA
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
JMA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 1
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
JMA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |