Gaucho 1 Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-3
Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 2
NOV
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 2
NOV
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAX
1 - 0
SCI
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
SCI
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 0
CAX
81%
14%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
COR
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |