Novo Hamburgo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
69.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
AIM
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAX
3 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SCI
1 - 1
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
MIR
3 - 2
GRE
18%
25%
58%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 0
SLU
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
URS
3 - 1
GRE
10%
21%
69%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 2
GRE
10%
21%
70%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |