Novo Hamburgo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ECS
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
FER
30%
31%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 2
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |