Gaucho 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Novo Hamburgo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 2
IQU
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
VER
79%
17%
5%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
AMF
62%
24%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |