Novo Hamburgo vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 2
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
CIA
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
TUB
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
CIA
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
TUB
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 0
FER
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CIA
0 - 0
FER
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |