Novo Hamburgo vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
ISM
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SCI
4 - 1
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 2
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
ECA
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 6
SCI
6%
15%
79%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
ESP
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
JUV
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |