Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-2
Novo Hamburgo vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
FER
30%
31%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 2
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
CIA
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
TUB
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 1
ECS
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 1
MOG
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 1
PRU
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PRU
1 - 2
ECS
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MOG
1 - 2
ECS
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |