Novo Hamburgo vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
7 - 2
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
NOV
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
SSR
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 3
NOV
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 0
ECA
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ECA
1 - 1
ESP
32%
29%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ECA
1 - 0
PAS
36%
29%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 0
ECA
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
VER
1 - 1
ECA
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |