Novo Hamburgo vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 0
NOV
80%
15%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
SCI
10%
24%
67%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUV
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 0
ECA
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 2
ECS
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |